Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
1%
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,202 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$31,662 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$63,863Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,863Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
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