Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military figures, including investigations into generals such as Zhang Youxia in January 2026. These actions, officially tied to discipline violations rather than organized resistance, have consolidated authority and reduced visible factional challenges. No verified coup attempts or coordinated opposition have surfaced in credible reporting since those events, supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for no attempt before 2027. Remaining uncertainty stems from the system’s opacity, where sudden leadership health issues, severe economic shocks, or unreported elite fractures could still trigger rapid shifts, though historical patterns of centralized power make such outcomes unlikely in the near term.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$153,576 Vol.
$153,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$153,576 Vol.
$153,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military figures, including investigations into generals such as Zhang Youxia in January 2026. These actions, officially tied to discipline violations rather than organized resistance, have consolidated authority and reduced visible factional challenges. No verified coup attempts or coordinated opposition have surfaced in credible reporting since those events, supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for no attempt before 2027. Remaining uncertainty stems from the system’s opacity, where sudden leadership health issues, severe economic shocks, or unreported elite fractures could still trigger rapid shifts, though historical patterns of centralized power make such outcomes unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,576Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military figures, including investigations into generals such as Zhang Youxia in January 2026. These actions, officially tied to discipline violations rather than organized resistance, have consolidated authority and reduced visible factional challenges. No verified coup attempts or coordinated opposition have surfaced in credible reporting since those events, supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for no attempt before 2027. Remaining uncertainty stems from the system’s opacity, where sudden leadership health issues, severe economic shocks, or unreported elite fractures could still trigger rapid shifts, though historical patterns of centralized power make such outcomes unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,576Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military figures, including investigations into generals such as Zhang Youxia in January 2026. These actions, officially tied to discipline violations rather than organized resistance, have consolidated authority and reduced visible factional challenges. No verified coup attempts or coordinated opposition have surfaced in credible reporting since those events, supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for no attempt before 2027. Remaining uncertainty stems from the system’s opacity, where sudden leadership health issues, severe economic shocks, or unreported elite fractures could still trigger rapid shifts, though historical patterns of centralized power make such outcomes unlikely in the near term.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan