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Politik·Trump

Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?

icon for Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?
Politik·Trump

Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?

36% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
36% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey posted a video message on his Substack titled "Seashells" on April 28, directly responding to a fresh DOJ indictment alleging threats via a 2025 Instagram image of arranged seashells interpreted as "86 47." This event-driven post, following a prior video in mid-March, underscores his pattern of using video updates amid legal scrutiny, with near-weekly Substack entries blending text reflections and occasional videos. At 50% Yes, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over a follow-up by May 2: ongoing second indictment proceedings or arraignment scheduling could trigger another rapid response, while a return to routine non-video posts amid no new catalysts would tilt toward No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
Volume
$985
Tanggal Berakhir
May 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey posted a video message on his Substack titled "Seashells" on April 28, directly responding to a fresh DOJ indictment alleging threats via a 2025 Instagram image of arranged seashells interpreted as "86 47." This event-driven post, following a prior video in mid-March, underscores his pattern of using video updates amid legal scrutiny, with near-weekly Substack entries blending text reflections and occasional videos. At 50% Yes, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over a follow-up by May 2: ongoing second indictment proceedings or arraignment scheduling could trigger another rapid response, while a return to routine non-video posts amid no new catalysts would tilt toward No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
Volume
$985
Tanggal Berakhir
May 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 36% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 36¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" adalah 36% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 36% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.