Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
$14,472 Vol.
$14,472 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,472 Vol.
$14,472 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$8,459 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$6,013 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,472Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,472Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida's 21st district, where redistricting has produced an R+7 Cook PVI and forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Mast won 61.8% in 2024, and his unopposed primary advance contrasts with the narrow Democratic primary win by James Martin. These structural advantages, combined with Florida's broader shift toward a 24-4 Republican House delegation on the new map, underpin the 93% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts limit realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
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