Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a moderating air mass over Chicago on August 2, driven by northeast breezes and lingering cloud cover from prior showers, which caps daytime heating and supports the market's tight clustering around 74–77 °F as the most probable range. Ensemble guidance shows limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, with slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed determining whether readings settle near 74–75 °F or edge into the upper 70s. Historical August averages near 84 °F underscore the anomalous cool pattern, while upcoming afternoon model updates and surface observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$85 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$95 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$105 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$177 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$1,717 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$3,524 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$298 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$1,728 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$129 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a moderating air mass over Chicago on August 2, driven by northeast breezes and lingering cloud cover from prior showers, which caps daytime heating and supports the market's tight clustering around 74–77 °F as the most probable range. Ensemble guidance shows limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, with slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed determining whether readings settle near 74–75 °F or edge into the upper 70s. Historical August averages near 84 °F underscore the anomalous cool pattern, while upcoming afternoon model updates and surface observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$8,109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a moderating air mass over Chicago on August 2, driven by northeast breezes and lingering cloud cover from prior showers, which caps daytime heating and supports the market's tight clustering around 74–77 °F as the most probable range. Ensemble guidance shows limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, with slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed determining whether readings settle near 74–75 °F or edge into the upper 70s. Historical August averages near 84 °F underscore the anomalous cool pattern, while upcoming afternoon model updates and surface observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a moderating air mass over Chicago on August 2, driven by northeast breezes and lingering cloud cover from prior showers, which caps daytime heating and supports the market's tight clustering around 74–77 °F as the most probable range. Ensemble guidance shows limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, with slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed determining whether readings settle near 74–75 °F or edge into the upper 70s. Historical August averages near 84 °F underscore the anomalous cool pattern, while upcoming afternoon model updates and surface observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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