Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong ridge of high pressure building over the central Rockies, supporting afternoon highs in Denver near or slightly above 100 °F on August 2 amid a regional heat wave. Key variables separating the closely matched 100–101 °F and 102–103 °F bins include the precise timing of any scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clear skies allowing full insolation and mixing down of warmer air from aloft. Historical analogs for early-August highs under similar 500-hPa patterns show a 1–3 °F spread depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, while the 98–99 °F outcome would require earlier or more widespread convection than currently projected. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 2?
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 34%
98-99°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
34%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 34%
98-99°F 19%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$771 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$416 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$433 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$580 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$814 Vol.
19%
100-101°F
$679 Vol.
43%
102-103°F
$1,924 Vol.
34%
104-105°F
$555 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$511 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$390 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong ridge of high pressure building over the central Rockies, supporting afternoon highs in Denver near or slightly above 100 °F on August 2 amid a regional heat wave. Key variables separating the closely matched 100–101 °F and 102–103 °F bins include the precise timing of any scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clear skies allowing full insolation and mixing down of warmer air from aloft. Historical analogs for early-August highs under similar 500-hPa patterns show a 1–3 °F spread depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, while the 98–99 °F outcome would require earlier or more widespread convection than currently projected. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,477Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong ridge of high pressure building over the central Rockies, supporting afternoon highs in Denver near or slightly above 100 °F on August 2 amid a regional heat wave. Key variables separating the closely matched 100–101 °F and 102–103 °F bins include the precise timing of any scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clear skies allowing full insolation and mixing down of warmer air from aloft. Historical analogs for early-August highs under similar 500-hPa patterns show a 1–3 °F spread depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, while the 98–99 °F outcome would require earlier or more widespread convection than currently projected. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,477Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong ridge of high pressure building over the central Rockies, supporting afternoon highs in Denver near or slightly above 100 °F on August 2 amid a regional heat wave. Key variables separating the closely matched 100–101 °F and 102–103 °F bins include the precise timing of any scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clear skies allowing full insolation and mixing down of warmer air from aloft. Historical analogs for early-August highs under similar 500-hPa patterns show a 1–3 °F spread depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, while the 98–99 °F outcome would require earlier or more widespread convection than currently projected. Updated NWS guidance and mesoscale model runs expected later today will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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