Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Vol.
$240,529 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 Vol.
$240,529 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$8,973 Vol.
No
26°C
$20,000 Vol.
No
27°C
$68,251 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$39,786 Vol.
No
29°C
$29,854 Vol.
No
30°C
$24,025 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,870 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,006 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,952 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,934 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,878 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$240,529Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$240,529Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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