Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 99°F for Houston on August 2, driving the tight clustering around the 96–101°F outcomes. Following several days of upper-90s to low-100s heat, the ECMWF and other guidance indicate a subtle pattern shift that could limit further intensification while afternoon humidity and any scattered convection introduce variability in the observed maximum. Traders weigh historical early-August baselines near 95°F against current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts that support the market-implied spread. Updated NWS briefings and morning model cycles ahead of the peak heating period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 2?
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 24%
94-95°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 24%
94-95°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$197 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$303 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$534 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$899 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$386 Vol.
36%
100-101°F
$339 Vol.
24%
102-103°F
$276 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$281 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$26 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$103 Vol.
1%
110°F or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 99°F for Houston on August 2, driving the tight clustering around the 96–101°F outcomes. Following several days of upper-90s to low-100s heat, the ECMWF and other guidance indicate a subtle pattern shift that could limit further intensification while afternoon humidity and any scattered convection introduce variability in the observed maximum. Traders weigh historical early-August baselines near 95°F against current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts that support the market-implied spread. Updated NWS briefings and morning model cycles ahead of the peak heating period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,537Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 99°F for Houston on August 2, driving the tight clustering around the 96–101°F outcomes. Following several days of upper-90s to low-100s heat, the ECMWF and other guidance indicate a subtle pattern shift that could limit further intensification while afternoon humidity and any scattered convection introduce variability in the observed maximum. Traders weigh historical early-August baselines near 95°F against current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts that support the market-implied spread. Updated NWS briefings and morning model cycles ahead of the peak heating period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,537Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 99°F for Houston on August 2, driving the tight clustering around the 96–101°F outcomes. Following several days of upper-90s to low-100s heat, the ECMWF and other guidance indicate a subtle pattern shift that could limit further intensification while afternoon humidity and any scattered convection introduce variability in the observed maximum. Traders weigh historical early-August baselines near 95°F against current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts that support the market-implied spread. Updated NWS briefings and morning model cycles ahead of the peak heating period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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