Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 30–32°C (86–90°F) for Jinan on September 18, driven by a stable warm air mass under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This exceeds the historical September average high of roughly 27°C and places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold. Model consensus across agencies shows minimal disagreement on this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter temperatures substantially before resolution. While numerical weather prediction carries inherent uncertainty ranges, particularly for local maxima, the strong alignment of recent runs supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for 26°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on September 18?
26°C or higher 98%
23°C 9%
24°C 9%
25°C 8%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
23°C 9%
24°C 9%
25°C 8%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 30–32°C (86–90°F) for Jinan on September 18, driven by a stable warm air mass under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This exceeds the historical September average high of roughly 27°C and places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold. Model consensus across agencies shows minimal disagreement on this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter temperatures substantially before resolution. While numerical weather prediction carries inherent uncertainty ranges, particularly for local maxima, the strong alignment of recent runs supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for 26°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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