Current forecast consensus from models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on August 23, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting high confidence in this range. August climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure ridge, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit extreme peaks. Recent observations and short-range guidance indicate stable, dry conditions with no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to shift temperatures notably higher or lower over the next 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variability—rarely exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C this late in the month—alongside consistent model runs favoring the upper end of the typical envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
32°C 66%
33°C 22%
31°C 8%
34°C 4%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
66%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 66%
33°C 22%
31°C 8%
34°C 4%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
66%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on August 23, 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting high confidence in this range. August climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure ridge, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit extreme peaks. Recent observations and short-range guidance indicate stable, dry conditions with no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to shift temperatures notably higher or lower over the next 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variability—rarely exceeding 33°C or falling below 30°C this late in the month—alongside consistent model runs favoring the upper end of the typical envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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