Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
65%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
5%
32°C
$15 Vol.
14%
33°C
$31 Vol.
65%
34°C
$28 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$548Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$548Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes typical of peak Mediterranean summer. These conditions, aligned with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations around 32–33°C, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 65% implied probability. Updated model runs show limited heatwave amplification but confirm potential for 34°C, while sea-breeze effects and lack of extreme signals keep higher outcomes below 5% combined. Final observations will resolve near the 33–34°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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