Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
32°C 56%
33°C 41%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
56%
33°C
41%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 41%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$212 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,115 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,855 Vol.
56%
33°C
$2,321 Vol.
41%
34°C
$768 Vol.
2%
35°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,230Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,230Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under stable summer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market’s strong preference for 32°C and 33°C outcomes. These align closely with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 31–32°C absent synoptic shifts or heat advection. Recent model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the distribution while leaving modest room for 33°C if afternoon heating exceeds guidance. Updated runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final observational adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan