Latest meteorological guidance from regional models positions Zhengzhou's August 17 maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with possible drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating. Seasonal August climatology in the North China Plain supports daily highs around 31°C, while variable cloud persistence and any timing shifts in precipitation introduce the main uncertainty between the 31°C and 32°C+ thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 25% for exactly 31°C, aggregates these factors against historical baselines moderated by current atmospheric conditions, with resolution hinging on official verification of the peak reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
32°C or higher 46%
31°C 43%
30°C 15%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
46%
32°C or higher 46%
31°C 43%
30°C 15%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
$317 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
6%
29°C
$11 Vol.
12%
30°C
$7 Vol.
15%
31°C
$15 Vol.
29%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models positions Zhengzhou's August 17 maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with possible drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating. Seasonal August climatology in the North China Plain supports daily highs around 31°C, while variable cloud persistence and any timing shifts in precipitation introduce the main uncertainty between the 31°C and 32°C+ thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 25% for exactly 31°C, aggregates these factors against historical baselines moderated by current atmospheric conditions, with resolution hinging on official verification of the peak reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models positions Zhengzhou's August 17 maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with possible drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating. Seasonal August climatology in the North China Plain supports daily highs around 31°C, while variable cloud persistence and any timing shifts in precipitation introduce the main uncertainty between the 31°C and 32°C+ thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 25% for exactly 31°C, aggregates these factors against historical baselines moderated by current atmospheric conditions, with resolution hinging on official verification of the peak reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance from regional models positions Zhengzhou's August 17 maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with possible drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating. Seasonal August climatology in the North China Plain supports daily highs around 31°C, while variable cloud persistence and any timing shifts in precipitation introduce the main uncertainty between the 31°C and 32°C+ thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 25% for exactly 31°C, aggregates these factors against historical baselines moderated by current atmospheric conditions, with resolution hinging on official verification of the peak reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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