**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Vol.
$6,805 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Vol.
$6,805 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$1,230 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,240 Vol.
No
24°C
$325 Vol.
No
25°C
$200 Vol.
No
26°C
$132 Vol.
No
27°C
$995 Vol.
No
28°C
$492 Vol.
No
29°C
$438 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$567 Vol.
No
31°C
$400 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$786 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,805Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,805Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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