Latest forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate a high of 29–31°C in Zhengzhou on September 4 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and low humidity near 40%, consistent with the market's leading 30°C (33%) and 31°C (27.5%) outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation over the past week, allowing strong daytime solar heating while mild advection prevents rapid warming beyond 32°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, with some runs favoring 28–29°C and others edging toward 32°C. Historical September maxima average near 28°C, but the current warm anomaly supports the balanced trader sentiment across the 29–32°C range ahead of official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 4?
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
28°C 19%
29°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
28°C 19%
29°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate a high of 29–31°C in Zhengzhou on September 4 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and low humidity near 40%, consistent with the market's leading 30°C (33%) and 31°C (27.5%) outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation over the past week, allowing strong daytime solar heating while mild advection prevents rapid warming beyond 32°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, with some runs favoring 28–29°C and others edging toward 32°C. Historical September maxima average near 28°C, but the current warm anomaly supports the balanced trader sentiment across the 29–32°C range ahead of official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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