Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 10th congressional district with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, advancing to face Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election. The northern suburban district carries a consistent Democratic lean exceeding 10 points on partisan voting indexes, enabling Schneider's repeated victories including a 60 percent margin in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican opposition in the primary and limited subsequent developments, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Potential shifts remain possible through late national political realignments, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-10 House Election Winner
IL-10 House Election Winner
$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,053 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,974 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 10th congressional district with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, advancing to face Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election. The northern suburban district carries a consistent Democratic lean exceeding 10 points on partisan voting indexes, enabling Schneider's repeated victories including a 60 percent margin in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican opposition in the primary and limited subsequent developments, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Potential shifts remain possible through late national political realignments, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$22,027Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 10th congressional district with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, advancing to face Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election. The northern suburban district carries a consistent Democratic lean exceeding 10 points on partisan voting indexes, enabling Schneider's repeated victories including a 60 percent margin in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican opposition in the primary and limited subsequent developments, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Potential shifts remain possible through late national political realignments, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,027Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 10th congressional district with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, advancing to face Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election. The northern suburban district carries a consistent Democratic lean exceeding 10 points on partisan voting indexes, enabling Schneider's repeated victories including a 60 percent margin in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive Republican opposition in the primary and limited subsequent developments, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Potential shifts remain possible through late national political realignments, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
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