The official @khamenei_ir account of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei continues to issue occasional statements, primarily archival quotes or themed content tied to events such as Arbaeen observances. Recent activity shows short bursts of several posts on consecutive days in late July and early August 2026, followed by longer gaps, consistent with managed posting of pre-existing material rather than real-time commentary. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments are scheduled in the August 4–11 window that would prompt additional output. Trader pricing reflects this established low-frequency pattern, with the <5 bin capturing the baseline expectation and modest probability mass shifting only to the 5–9 range if an unscheduled occasion arises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 71%
5-9 23%
10-14 7%
25-29 <1%
<5
71%
5-9
23%
10-14
7%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 71%
5-9 23%
10-14 7%
25-29 <1%
<5
71%
5-9
23%
10-14
7%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official @khamenei_ir account of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei continues to issue occasional statements, primarily archival quotes or themed content tied to events such as Arbaeen observances. Recent activity shows short bursts of several posts on consecutive days in late July and early August 2026, followed by longer gaps, consistent with managed posting of pre-existing material rather than real-time commentary. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments are scheduled in the August 4–11 window that would prompt additional output. Trader pricing reflects this established low-frequency pattern, with the <5 bin capturing the baseline expectation and modest probability mass shifting only to the 5–9 range if an unscheduled occasion arises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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