Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical late-summer nocturnal cooling pattern for Chicago, with the overnight low expected in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69 °F reflects modest forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and any subtle lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that can suppress radiative cooling. Clearer or calmer conditions would favor the lower bins near 64–67 °F, while increased humidity or lingering daytime warmth would support readings closer to 68–70 °F. Historical August normals near 64 °F provide context, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong frontal passages keep the distribution centered slightly above climatology.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
58-59°F 48%
74°F or higher 43%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
12%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
48%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
43%
58-59°F 48%
74°F or higher 43%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
12%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
48%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
31%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical late-summer nocturnal cooling pattern for Chicago, with the overnight low expected in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69 °F reflects modest forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and any subtle lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that can suppress radiative cooling. Clearer or calmer conditions would favor the lower bins near 64–67 °F, while increased humidity or lingering daytime warmth would support readings closer to 68–70 °F. Historical August normals near 64 °F provide context, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong frontal passages keep the distribution centered slightly above climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical late-summer nocturnal cooling pattern for Chicago, with the overnight low expected in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69 °F reflects modest forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and any subtle lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that can suppress radiative cooling. Clearer or calmer conditions would favor the lower bins near 64–67 °F, while increased humidity or lingering daytime warmth would support readings closer to 68–70 °F. Historical August normals near 64 °F provide context, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong frontal passages keep the distribution centered slightly above climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a typical late-summer nocturnal cooling pattern for Chicago, with the overnight low expected in the mid-to-upper 60s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69 °F reflects modest forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and any subtle lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that can suppress radiative cooling. Clearer or calmer conditions would favor the lower bins near 64–67 °F, while increased humidity or lingering daytime warmth would support readings closer to 68–70 °F. Historical August normals near 64 °F provide context, yet current model consensus and the absence of strong frontal passages keep the distribution centered slightly above climatology.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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