**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.** Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%). Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
68-69°F 39%
60-61°F 38%
58-59°F 33%
56-57°F 22%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
2%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
39%
70°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 39%
60-61°F 38%
58-59°F 33%
56-57°F 22%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
$6 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$6 Vol.
8%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
38%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
39%
70°F or higher
$45 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.**
Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%).
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.**
Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%).
Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers the overnight low for Chicago on August 23 around 58–62°F under mostly clear skies.** Clear conditions overnight will promote radiative cooling after a sunny day with highs near 74–76°F. Light north-to-northwest winds of 5–10 mph will limit mixing while dew points in the mid-50s cap how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance and NWS point forecasts show tight clustering in the upper 50s to low 60s, matching the market’s leading bins of 60–61°F (35%) and 58–59°F (30%). Recent model runs have remained stable, with no significant shifts in the air mass or cloud cover expected. Historical late-August normals (lows near 66°F) underscore that the current pattern is slightly cooler than average but well within seasonal bounds. Traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance and minor local variations near the lakefront versus O’Hare.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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