Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
28°C or higher 75%
24°C 41%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
49%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
75%
28°C or higher 75%
24°C 41%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
49%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 22 will likely settle near 20–23°C under stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities around 21–23°C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns where Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Historical August minimums average 20–21°C with low variability absent frontal systems or strong winds, though slight model spread in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against upcoming 24–48 hour updates from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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