Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 project a daytime high near 25–26°C under cloudy skies with a minimum nighttime temperature of 16°C, reflecting typical late-summer cooling after sunset. This aligns with the market's clustering around 17–19°C as leading outcomes, where traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C. Above-average minimum temperatures throughout summer 2026, driven by persistent mild nights, provide supporting context for these levels rather than sharper drops. Model consensus remains stable at short range, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 18?
Lowest temperature in London on August 18?
18°C 49%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
16°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
49%
19°C
27%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 49%
19°C 27%
17°C 20%
16°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
15°C
$112 Vol.
2%
16°C
$93 Vol.
5%
17°C
$452 Vol.
20%
18°C
$873 Vol.
49%
19°C
$849 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 project a daytime high near 25–26°C under cloudy skies with a minimum nighttime temperature of 16°C, reflecting typical late-summer cooling after sunset. This aligns with the market's clustering around 17–19°C as leading outcomes, where traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C. Above-average minimum temperatures throughout summer 2026, driven by persistent mild nights, provide supporting context for these levels rather than sharper drops. Model consensus remains stable at short range, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 project a daytime high near 25–26°C under cloudy skies with a minimum nighttime temperature of 16°C, reflecting typical late-summer cooling after sunset. This aligns with the market's clustering around 17–19°C as leading outcomes, where traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C. Above-average minimum temperatures throughout summer 2026, driven by persistent mild nights, provide supporting context for these levels rather than sharper drops. Model consensus remains stable at short range, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 project a daytime high near 25–26°C under cloudy skies with a minimum nighttime temperature of 16°C, reflecting typical late-summer cooling after sunset. This aligns with the market's clustering around 17–19°C as leading outcomes, where traders assign the highest implied probability to 18°C. Above-average minimum temperatures throughout summer 2026, driven by persistent mild nights, provide supporting context for these levels rather than sharper drops. Model consensus remains stable at short range, though minor revisions to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1°C ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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