Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
63°F or below 90%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
90%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
-
63°F or below 90%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 24%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$150 Vol.
90%
64-65°F
$85 Vol.
23%
66-67°F
$36 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$18 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$11 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$1,024 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$90 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$140 Vol.
2%
82°F or higher
$279 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,876Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,876Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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