Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including above-average rainfall through early September that erased seasonal deficits, has sustained high humidity and frequent cloud cover over Lucknow, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near historical September averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models project a low of 26–27°C for September 12 amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers, limiting both extreme cooling below 22°C and warming above 30°C. This equilibrium under active monsoon flow explains the tight market clustering around mid-range outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus on steering patterns and any last-minute convective developments that could alter boundary-layer temperatures before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
31°C or higher 69%
21°C or below 63%
27°C 48%
24°C 39%
21°C or below
63%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
39%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
69%
31°C or higher 69%
21°C or below 63%
27°C 48%
24°C 39%
21°C or below
63%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
39%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including above-average rainfall through early September that erased seasonal deficits, has sustained high humidity and frequent cloud cover over Lucknow, moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near historical September averages of 24–26°C. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models project a low of 26–27°C for September 12 amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered showers, limiting both extreme cooling below 22°C and warming above 30°C. This equilibrium under active monsoon flow explains the tight market clustering around mid-range outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus on steering patterns and any last-minute convective developments that could alter boundary-layer temperatures before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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