Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from a developing low-pressure area east of Luzon is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Manila on August 29, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models project daily lows near 25–27°C amid high humidity and 80–100% rain probabilities, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 25–26°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability due to sustained westerly flow, though any unexpected clearing could push minimums higher toward the leading 31°C+ tranche. Updated forecasts from NHC analogs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 79%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
10%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
79%
31°C or higher 79%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$135 Vol.
10%
22°C
$54 Vol.
8%
23°C
$34 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from a developing low-pressure area east of Luzon is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Manila on August 29, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models project daily lows near 25–27°C amid high humidity and 80–100% rain probabilities, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 25–26°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability due to sustained westerly flow, though any unexpected clearing could push minimums higher toward the leading 31°C+ tranche. Updated forecasts from NHC analogs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$243Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from a developing low-pressure area east of Luzon is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Manila on August 29, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models project daily lows near 25–27°C amid high humidity and 80–100% rain probabilities, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 25–26°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability due to sustained westerly flow, though any unexpected clearing could push minimums higher toward the leading 31°C+ tranche. Updated forecasts from NHC analogs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from a developing low-pressure area east of Luzon is driving widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Manila on August 29, limiting daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models project daily lows near 25–27°C amid high humidity and 80–100% rain probabilities, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 25–26°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability due to sustained westerly flow, though any unexpected clearing could push minimums higher toward the leading 31°C+ tranche. Updated forecasts from NHC analogs and PAGASA briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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