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Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?

icon for Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?

Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?

18°C or higher 93%

8°C or below 90%

17°C 41%

11°C 28%

Polymarket
BARU

18°C or higher 93%

8°C or below 90%

17°C 41%

11°C 28%

Polymarket
BARU

8°C or below

$5 Vol.

90%

9°C

$0 Vol.

21%

10°C

$0 Vol.

21%

11°C

$0 Vol.

28%

12°C

$0 Vol.

27%

13°C

$0 Vol.

27%

14°C

$0 Vol.

26%

15°C

$0 Vol.

26%

16°C

$5 Vol.

2%

17°C

$5 Vol.

41%

18°C or higher

$5 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "18°C or higher" di 47%, diikuti oleh "8°C or below" di 45%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?" adalah "18°C or higher" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "8°C or below" di 45%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.