Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
15°C 51%
14°C 37%
13°C 15%
16°C 9%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
37%
15°C
45%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 37%
13°C 15%
16°C 9%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
37%
15°C
45%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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