Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Paris minimum temperatures on September 10 clustering between 8–10°C, with market-implied odds reflecting this tight spread under high pressure and predominantly clear to partly cloudy overnight skies. Light northwesterly winds near 2–5 km/h and low humidity favor radiational cooling after sunset, pushing the low toward the 9°C outcome that leads trader consensus at 41.5%. Subtle differences in model timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts explain the near-even split with the 8°C bin, while historical September averages near 12°C highlight the current cooler anomaly. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
9°C 40%
8°C 33%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
40%
10°C
11%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
2%
9°C 40%
8°C 33%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
$344 Vol.
17%
8°C
$726 Vol.
33%
9°C
$1,103 Vol.
40%
10°C
$308 Vol.
11%
11°C
$275 Vol.
5%
12°C
$232 Vol.
5%
13°C
$381 Vol.
3%
14°C
$186 Vol.
1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
2%
16°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Paris minimum temperatures on September 10 clustering between 8–10°C, with market-implied odds reflecting this tight spread under high pressure and predominantly clear to partly cloudy overnight skies. Light northwesterly winds near 2–5 km/h and low humidity favor radiational cooling after sunset, pushing the low toward the 9°C outcome that leads trader consensus at 41.5%. Subtle differences in model timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts explain the near-even split with the 8°C bin, while historical September averages near 12°C highlight the current cooler anomaly. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,487Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Paris minimum temperatures on September 10 clustering between 8–10°C, with market-implied odds reflecting this tight spread under high pressure and predominantly clear to partly cloudy overnight skies. Light northwesterly winds near 2–5 km/h and low humidity favor radiational cooling after sunset, pushing the low toward the 9°C outcome that leads trader consensus at 41.5%. Subtle differences in model timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts explain the near-even split with the 8°C bin, while historical September averages near 12°C highlight the current cooler anomaly. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,487Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF show Paris minimum temperatures on September 10 clustering between 8–10°C, with market-implied odds reflecting this tight spread under high pressure and predominantly clear to partly cloudy overnight skies. Light northwesterly winds near 2–5 km/h and low humidity favor radiational cooling after sunset, pushing the low toward the 9°C outcome that leads trader consensus at 41.5%. Subtle differences in model timing of any residual cloud cover or wind shifts explain the near-even split with the 8°C bin, while historical September averages near 12°C highlight the current cooler anomaly. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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