**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C overnight in Qingdao, driven by northerly winds of 15–25 km/h promoting mixing and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models show the temperature falling from daytime highs around 25–26°C to lows of 16–20°C by early morning, with several hourly projections bottoming near 14–16°C before dawn. This aligns with the market's strong 95.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model consensus and historical September patterns for the coastal site. A shift to lighter winds, increased cloud cover, or delayed cold-air advection could keep readings closer to 17–18°C and reduce the chance of reaching 16°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would support even lower values. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
16°C 96%
15°C 20%
14°C or below 9%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
9%
15°C
20%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 20%
14°C or below 9%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$45 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$410 Vol.
96%
17°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$677 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C overnight in Qingdao, driven by northerly winds of 15–25 km/h promoting mixing and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models show the temperature falling from daytime highs around 25–26°C to lows of 16–20°C by early morning, with several hourly projections bottoming near 14–16°C before dawn. This aligns with the market's strong 95.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model consensus and historical September patterns for the coastal site. A shift to lighter winds, increased cloud cover, or delayed cold-air advection could keep readings closer to 17–18°C and reduce the chance of reaching 16°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would support even lower values. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,759Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C overnight in Qingdao, driven by northerly winds of 15–25 km/h promoting mixing and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models show the temperature falling from daytime highs around 25–26°C to lows of 16–20°C by early morning, with several hourly projections bottoming near 14–16°C before dawn. This aligns with the market's strong 95.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model consensus and historical September patterns for the coastal site. A shift to lighter winds, increased cloud cover, or delayed cold-air advection could keep readings closer to 17–18°C and reduce the chance of reaching 16°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would support even lower values. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,759Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C overnight in Qingdao, driven by northerly winds of 15–25 km/h promoting mixing and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models show the temperature falling from daytime highs around 25–26°C to lows of 16–20°C by early morning, with several hourly projections bottoming near 14–16°C before dawn. This aligns with the market's strong 95.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the latest model consensus and historical September patterns for the coastal site. A shift to lighter winds, increased cloud cover, or delayed cold-air advection could keep readings closer to 17–18°C and reduce the chance of reaching 16°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would support even lower values. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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