Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon near 19°C on September 25, driven by moderate southerly flow, rising humidity, and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal system tied to the Chuseok period. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer prior nights, while scattered showers may further moderate minimum temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around 19°C, 20°C, and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 18°C, providing context for the current tight distribution of probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 25?
15°C or below 49%
19°C 31%
21°C 28%
24°C 26%
15°C or below
49%
16°C
19%
17°C
23%
18°C
21%
19°C
31%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C or higher
1%
15°C or below 49%
19°C 31%
21°C 28%
24°C 26%
15°C or below
49%
16°C
19%
17°C
23%
18°C
21%
19°C
31%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Seoul and Incheon near 19°C on September 25, driven by moderate southerly flow, rising humidity, and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal system tied to the Chuseok period. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer prior nights, while scattered showers may further moderate minimum temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around 19°C, 20°C, and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 18°C, providing context for the current tight distribution of probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan