**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Shenzhen on September 17, 2026, reflecting stable subtropical conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models consistently project a daily range of roughly 25–26°C low to 32–33°C high under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light easterly winds. High humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover overnight reduce radiative cooling, while recent prior rainfall has left moist ground that further moderates temperature drops. No approaching cold fronts or significant weather systems are evident in current analyses, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the region where lows rarely fall below 24–25°C without stronger synoptic forcing. Model runs show tight agreement around these values, with hourly observations confirming early-morning readings holding near 26°C. This scientific stability—driven by persistent easterly flow and lack of dynamic cooling—underpins the market’s strong preference for 26°C over cooler or warmer alternatives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
23°C 13%
24°C 11%
22°C 2%
25°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C
58%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 13%
24°C 11%
22°C 2%
25°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$41 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$25 Vol.
13%
24°C
$16 Vol.
11%
25°C
$63 Vol.
2%
26°C
$106 Vol.
58%
27°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Shenzhen on September 17, 2026, reflecting stable subtropical conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models consistently project a daily range of roughly 25–26°C low to 32–33°C high under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light easterly winds. High humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover overnight reduce radiative cooling, while recent prior rainfall has left moist ground that further moderates temperature drops. No approaching cold fronts or significant weather systems are evident in current analyses, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the region where lows rarely fall below 24–25°C without stronger synoptic forcing.
Model runs show tight agreement around these values, with hourly observations confirming early-morning readings holding near 26°C. This scientific stability—driven by persistent easterly flow and lack of dynamic cooling—underpins the market’s strong preference for 26°C over cooler or warmer alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$612Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Shenzhen on September 17, 2026, reflecting stable subtropical conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models consistently project a daily range of roughly 25–26°C low to 32–33°C high under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light easterly winds. High humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover overnight reduce radiative cooling, while recent prior rainfall has left moist ground that further moderates temperature drops. No approaching cold fronts or significant weather systems are evident in current analyses, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the region where lows rarely fall below 24–25°C without stronger synoptic forcing.
Model runs show tight agreement around these values, with hourly observations confirming early-morning readings holding near 26°C. This scientific stability—driven by persistent easterly flow and lack of dynamic cooling—underpins the market’s strong preference for 26°C over cooler or warmer alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$612Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Shenzhen on September 17, 2026, reflecting stable subtropical conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models consistently project a daily range of roughly 25–26°C low to 32–33°C high under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light easterly winds. High humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover overnight reduce radiative cooling, while recent prior rainfall has left moist ground that further moderates temperature drops. No approaching cold fronts or significant weather systems are evident in current analyses, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the region where lows rarely fall below 24–25°C without stronger synoptic forcing. Model runs show tight agreement around these values, with hourly observations confirming early-morning readings holding near 26°C. This scientific stability—driven by persistent easterly flow and lack of dynamic cooling—underpins the market’s strong preference for 26°C over cooler or warmer alternatives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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