**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.** Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
13°C 87%
18°C 86%
19°C 86%
14°C 85%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
49%
13°C
87%
14°C
85%
15°C
49%
16°C
48%
17°C
85%
18°C
86%
19°C
86%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
49%
13°C 87%
18°C 86%
19°C 86%
14°C 85%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
87%
14°C
$0 Vol.
85%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
85%
18°C
$0 Vol.
86%
19°C
$0 Vol.
86%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.**
Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.**
Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 4 likely in the 14–16°C range, with notable uncertainty around cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind patterns that traders appear to weigh evenly.** Short-range guidance from multiple sources shows daytime highs near 21°C under increasing clouds and a 40–65% chance of rain, with overnight lows projected around 14–16°C as a frontal system moves through. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical mins near 10–12°C but elevated by recent warmth) while reflecting a cooling trend from late-August conditions. Key variables include radiative cooling under any clear spells versus moderation from rain, higher humidity, and moderate southwest winds (15–25 km/h) that limit surface inversions. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in exact rain onset and low-level moisture, keeping outcomes near 14–16°C competitive with both cooler (<13°C) and warmer (>17°C) possibilities. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of this spread ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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