Recent northerly winds and a weak cold air intrusion across central China have driven cooler overnight conditions into Wuhan, with clear to partly cloudy skies enhancing radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration consistently project September 10 lows between 18–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18°C (26.5%), 19°C (32.0%), and 20°C (24.5%). Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight reduces upside risk for warmer readings, though minor variations in exact clearing timing or local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines near 20°C. Final station observations will resolve the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
16°C or below 46%
26°C or higher 44%
19°C 32%
24°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
16°C or below
46%
17°C
15%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
25%
21°C
11%
22°C
21%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
44%
16°C or below 46%
26°C or higher 44%
19°C 32%
24°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$25 Vol.
31%
25°C
$61 Vol.
27%
26°C or higher
$40 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and a weak cold air intrusion across central China have driven cooler overnight conditions into Wuhan, with clear to partly cloudy skies enhancing radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration consistently project September 10 lows between 18–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18°C (26.5%), 19°C (32.0%), and 20°C (24.5%). Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight reduces upside risk for warmer readings, though minor variations in exact clearing timing or local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines near 20°C. Final station observations will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and a weak cold air intrusion across central China have driven cooler overnight conditions into Wuhan, with clear to partly cloudy skies enhancing radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration consistently project September 10 lows between 18–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18°C (26.5%), 19°C (32.0%), and 20°C (24.5%). Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight reduces upside risk for warmer readings, though minor variations in exact clearing timing or local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines near 20°C. Final station observations will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and a weak cold air intrusion across central China have driven cooler overnight conditions into Wuhan, with clear to partly cloudy skies enhancing radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration consistently project September 10 lows between 18–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18°C (26.5%), 19°C (32.0%), and 20°C (24.5%). Model agreement on light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight reduces upside risk for warmer readings, though minor variations in exact clearing timing or local urban heat effects introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines near 20°C. Final station observations will resolve the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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