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Politik·House Primary

NV-03 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-03 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·House Primary

NV-03 Republican Primary Winner

Martin O'Donnell 97.0%

Jeff Gunter 1.4%

Tera Anderson 1.1%

Aury Nagy <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Martin O'Donnell 97.0%

Jeff Gunter 1.4%

Tera Anderson 1.1%

Aury Nagy <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Martin O'Donnell

$4,461 Vol.

97%

Jeff Gunter

$784 Vol.

1%

Tera Anderson

$653 Vol.

1%

Aury Nagy

$546 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marty O'Donnell's commanding position in the Nevada 3rd Congressional District Republican primary stems primarily from President Donald Trump's recent endorsement, which consolidated support among voters prioritizing alignment with the administration in the June 9 contest. As a repeat candidate with established name recognition from his 2024 bid and substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million, O'Donnell has outpaced rivals including former ambassador Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Aury Nagy, none of whom secured comparable high-profile backing. The primary's proximity leaves minimal window for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, campaign finance disclosures, or turnout surprises among key Republican voter blocs could still influence the final tally reflected in trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,444
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marty O'Donnell's commanding position in the Nevada 3rd Congressional District Republican primary stems primarily from President Donald Trump's recent endorsement, which consolidated support among voters prioritizing alignment with the administration in the June 9 contest. As a repeat candidate with established name recognition from his 2024 bid and substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million, O'Donnell has outpaced rivals including former ambassador Jeff Gunter, Tera Anderson, and Aury Nagy, none of whom secured comparable high-profile backing. The primary's proximity leaves minimal window for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, campaign finance disclosures, or turnout surprises among key Republican voter blocs could still influence the final tally reflected in trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,444
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Martin O'Donnell" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Jeff Gunter" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Martin O'Donnell" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jeff Gunter" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NV-03 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.