Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici advanced from the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, driven by its urban and suburban electorate along the Portland corridor. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late-cycle scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national wave, though the margin has historically insulated the seat from such pressures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$16,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici advanced from the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, driven by its urban and suburban electorate along the Portland corridor. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late-cycle scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national wave, though the margin has historically insulated the seat from such pressures.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,452Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici advanced from the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, driven by its urban and suburban electorate along the Portland corridor. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late-cycle scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national wave, though the margin has historically insulated the seat from such pressures.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,452Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici advanced from the May 2026 primary with 86.6% of the vote and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, driven by its urban and suburban electorate along the Portland corridor. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s structural lean and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these factors. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a late-cycle scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national wave, though the margin has historically insulated the seat from such pressures.
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