High uncertainty around the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October stems from intense competition among numerous labs, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for many contenders and lower shares for established players like Google. Rapid progress in large language model mathematical reasoning, driven by scaling techniques, specialized training on datasets such as MATH and GSM8K, and architectural improvements, keeps multiple firms— including Chinese developers like Alibaba, DeepSeek, and ByteDance alongside U.S. leaders—within striking distance. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark gains, inference efficiency, and integration of chain-of-thought or tool-use capabilities. Upcoming model releases or developer conferences could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGoogle 40%
Alibaba 17%
Nvidia 9.3%
Xiaomi 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
40%
Alibaba
17%
Nvidia
9%
Xiaomi
9%
Z.ai
17%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
5%
DeepSeek
5%
ByteDance
5%
Meituan
4%
Amazon
4%
Baidu
4%
Meta
4%
Microsoft
4%
StepFun
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Tencent
2%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Google 40%
Alibaba 17%
Nvidia 9.3%
Xiaomi 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
$2,868 Vol.
40%
Alibaba
$304 Vol.
17%
Nvidia
$228 Vol.
9%
Xiaomi
$62 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$170 Vol.
17%
OpenAI
$89 Vol.
6%
Anthropic
$100 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$66 Vol.
5%
ByteDance
$132 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$483 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$194 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$64 Vol.
4%
Meta
$64 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$260 Vol.
4%
StepFun
$147 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$64 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$59 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$217 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$99 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".High uncertainty around the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October stems from intense competition among numerous labs, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for many contenders and lower shares for established players like Google. Rapid progress in large language model mathematical reasoning, driven by scaling techniques, specialized training on datasets such as MATH and GSM8K, and architectural improvements, keeps multiple firms— including Chinese developers like Alibaba, DeepSeek, and ByteDance alongside U.S. leaders—within striking distance. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark gains, inference efficiency, and integration of chain-of-thought or tool-use capabilities. Upcoming model releases or developer conferences could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$5,803Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".High uncertainty around the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October stems from intense competition among numerous labs, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for many contenders and lower shares for established players like Google. Rapid progress in large language model mathematical reasoning, driven by scaling techniques, specialized training on datasets such as MATH and GSM8K, and architectural improvements, keeps multiple firms— including Chinese developers like Alibaba, DeepSeek, and ByteDance alongside U.S. leaders—within striking distance. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark gains, inference efficiency, and integration of chain-of-thought or tool-use capabilities. Upcoming model releases or developer conferences could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$5,803Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty around the second-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of October stems from intense competition among numerous labs, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for many contenders and lower shares for established players like Google. Rapid progress in large language model mathematical reasoning, driven by scaling techniques, specialized training on datasets such as MATH and GSM8K, and architectural improvements, keeps multiple firms— including Chinese developers like Alibaba, DeepSeek, and ByteDance alongside U.S. leaders—within striking distance. Differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark gains, inference efficiency, and integration of chain-of-thought or tool-use capabilities. Upcoming model releases or developer conferences could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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