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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 90.5%

Shelly deZevallos 2.1%

Jennifer Sundt 1.1%

Barrett McNabb 1.0%

Polymarket

$36,077 Vol.

Jon Bonck 90.5%

Shelly deZevallos 2.1%

Jennifer Sundt 1.1%

Barrett McNabb 1.0%

Polymarket

$36,077 Vol.

Jon Bonck

$16,939 Vol.

91%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,015 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,246 Vol.

1%

Barrett McNabb

$1,588 Vol.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,540 Vol.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,468 Vol.

1%

Larry Rubin

$2,055 Vol.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,210 Vol.

1%

Michael Pratt

$2,603 Vol.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,411 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant first-place finish in the March 3 primary, capturing nearly 30 points more than challenger Shelly deZevallos among a crowded 10-candidate field to replace Rep. Wesley Hunt, who vacated for a Senate bid. Key drivers include President Trump's pre-primary endorsement, Club for Growth PAC backing, and a reported $1 million war chest enabling superior advertising in the Houston-area district. With the May 26 runoff approaching, traders see little momentum shift despite deZevallos's second-place consolidation potential; realistic challenges could arise from late-breaking scandals, deZevallos securing rival endorsements, or depressed turnout favoring her base in this GOP stronghold.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,077
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant first-place finish in the March 3 primary, capturing nearly 30 points more than challenger Shelly deZevallos among a crowded 10-candidate field to replace Rep. Wesley Hunt, who vacated for a Senate bid. Key drivers include President Trump's pre-primary endorsement, Club for Growth PAC backing, and a reported $1 million war chest enabling superior advertising in the Houston-area district. With the May 26 runoff approaching, traders see little momentum shift despite deZevallos's second-place consolidation potential; realistic challenges could arise from late-breaking scandals, deZevallos securing rival endorsements, or depressed turnout favoring her base in this GOP stronghold.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,077
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jon Bonck" di 91%, diikuti oleh "Shelly deZevallos" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 91¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $36.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jon Bonck" di 91%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shelly deZevallos" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "TX-38 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.