Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, securing a House of Commons majority of 170 seats after prior floor-crossings from Conservatives and NDP brought them to the threshold. This development, confirmed in results reported April 14, solidifies government stability following the April 2025 snap election, rendering a new federal election unnecessary before the fixed date in October 2029. Trader consensus at 95.3% for "No" reflects Carney's rising approval ratings and lack of no-confidence threats from opposition parties. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic shocks, or internal party revolt prompting prorogation, though these face significant barriers under majority control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$78,392 Vol.
$78,392 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$78,392 Vol.
$78,392 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, securing a House of Commons majority of 170 seats after prior floor-crossings from Conservatives and NDP brought them to the threshold. This development, confirmed in results reported April 14, solidifies government stability following the April 2025 snap election, rendering a new federal election unnecessary before the fixed date in October 2029. Trader consensus at 95.3% for "No" reflects Carney's rising approval ratings and lack of no-confidence threats from opposition parties. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic shocks, or internal party revolt prompting prorogation, though these face significant barriers under majority control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$78,392Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, securing a House of Commons majority of 170 seats after prior floor-crossings from Conservatives and NDP brought them to the threshold. This development, confirmed in results reported April 14, solidifies government stability following the April 2025 snap election, rendering a new federal election unnecessary before the fixed date in October 2029. Trader consensus at 95.3% for "No" reflects Carney's rising approval ratings and lack of no-confidence threats from opposition parties. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic shocks, or internal party revolt prompting prorogation, though these face significant barriers under majority control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$78,392Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, securing a House of Commons majority of 170 seats after prior floor-crossings from Conservatives and NDP brought them to the threshold. This development, confirmed in results reported April 14, solidifies government stability following the April 2025 snap election, rendering a new federal election unnecessary before the fixed date in October 2029. Trader consensus at 95.3% for "No" reflects Carney's rising approval ratings and lack of no-confidence threats from opposition parties. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic shocks, or internal party revolt prompting prorogation, though these face significant barriers under majority control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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