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icon for Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

icon for Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Doug Ford remains entrenched as Progressive Conservative Party leader and Ontario premier following his third consecutive majority victory in the 2025 snap election, with no formal leadership review or credible internal challenge scheduled before year-end. Recent polling shows his personal approval at historic lows near 24 percent amid a hotel expense scandal involving caucus members and a ministerial resignation, yet the PCs stay competitive in voter intention surveys and Ford has publicly reaffirmed plans to seek a fourth mandate. Internal dissent, including the June ouster of a caucus chair over pensions and scandals, has not translated into organized efforts to replace him. The short timeline to December 31 limits the scope for convention-driven or caucus-triggered removal absent a sudden crisis.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,089
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Doug Ford remains entrenched as Progressive Conservative Party leader and Ontario premier following his third consecutive majority victory in the 2025 snap election, with no formal leadership review or credible internal challenge scheduled before year-end. Recent polling shows his personal approval at historic lows near 24 percent amid a hotel expense scandal involving caucus members and a ministerial resignation, yet the PCs stay competitive in voter intention surveys and Ford has publicly reaffirmed plans to seek a fourth mandate. Internal dissent, including the June ouster of a caucus chair over pensions and scandals, has not translated into organized efforts to replace him. The short timeline to December 31 limits the scope for convention-driven or caucus-triggered removal absent a sudden crisis.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,089
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 22% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 22¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 22% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" è 22% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 22% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.