The Richmond riding in Quebec’s National Assembly features an unusually competitive open-seat contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 election, with experienced candidates from five parties drawing closely matched trader probabilities. Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), a constitutional lawyer and former PQ candidate known for defending secularism legislation, competes against Bernard Sévigny (PQ), ex-Sherbrooke mayor; Hugo Fontaine (Liberal), a former journalist; Dominic Bouffard (Conservative), a local construction entrepreneur; and David Poulin-Latulippe (Québec solidaire), a clinical psychologist. Recent provincial polling aggregates and riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the seat as a toss-up or narrow multi-way race, reflecting the CAQ’s 2022 hold on a historically Liberal district now pressured by housing costs, youth engagement, and broader shifts in voter preferences. Nomination deadlines and the short campaign window limit opportunities for any contender to consolidate support decisively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDominic Bouffard 27%
David Poulin-Latulippe 26%
Bernard Sévigny 25%
Hugo Fontaine 25%

Dominic Bouffard
27%

David Poulin-Latulippe
26%

Bernard Sévigny
25%

Hugo Fontaine
25%

Guillaume Rousseau
23%
Dominic Bouffard 27%
David Poulin-Latulippe 26%
Bernard Sévigny 25%
Hugo Fontaine 25%

Dominic Bouffard
27%

David Poulin-Latulippe
26%

Bernard Sévigny
25%

Hugo Fontaine
25%

Guillaume Rousseau
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Richmond riding in Quebec’s National Assembly features an unusually competitive open-seat contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 election, with experienced candidates from five parties drawing closely matched trader probabilities. Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), a constitutional lawyer and former PQ candidate known for defending secularism legislation, competes against Bernard Sévigny (PQ), ex-Sherbrooke mayor; Hugo Fontaine (Liberal), a former journalist; Dominic Bouffard (Conservative), a local construction entrepreneur; and David Poulin-Latulippe (Québec solidaire), a clinical psychologist. Recent provincial polling aggregates and riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the seat as a toss-up or narrow multi-way race, reflecting the CAQ’s 2022 hold on a historically Liberal district now pressured by housing costs, youth engagement, and broader shifts in voter preferences. Nomination deadlines and the short campaign window limit opportunities for any contender to consolidate support decisively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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