In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding, trader odds reflect a closely contested race driven by the broader provincial shift toward the Parti Québécois, which holds a narrow lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The riding flipped to the Coalition Avenir Québec in 2022 with over 50% support but now projects as a toss-up, with Élodie Murphy-Gauthier (PQ) and Guy Veillette (CAQ) as the primary contenders amid fragmented voter intentions. Charles Paquin (Conservative) and Laurent Bélisle (Liberal) trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with regional patterns where the PQ gains ground outside Montreal while the CAQ defends incumbency advantages. Models from sources like 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80% odds of victory based on current trends, though local candidate profiles and turnout in the Mauricie area could narrow or widen the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoÉlodie Murphy-Gauthier 45%
Charles Paquin 45%
Guy Veillette 44%
Laurent Bélisle 27%
Élodie Murphy-Gauthier
45%
Charles Paquin
45%
Guy Veillette
44%
Laurent Bélisle
27%
Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 45%
Charles Paquin 45%
Guy Veillette 44%
Laurent Bélisle 27%
Élodie Murphy-Gauthier
45%
Charles Paquin
45%
Guy Veillette
44%
Laurent Bélisle
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding, trader odds reflect a closely contested race driven by the broader provincial shift toward the Parti Québécois, which holds a narrow lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The riding flipped to the Coalition Avenir Québec in 2022 with over 50% support but now projects as a toss-up, with Élodie Murphy-Gauthier (PQ) and Guy Veillette (CAQ) as the primary contenders amid fragmented voter intentions. Charles Paquin (Conservative) and Laurent Bélisle (Liberal) trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with regional patterns where the PQ gains ground outside Montreal while the CAQ defends incumbency advantages. Models from sources like 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80% odds of victory based on current trends, though local candidate profiles and turnout in the Mauricie area could narrow or widen the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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