In the Saint-François riding, the tight race between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert reflects a competitive multi-party contest on the new electoral map, with recent provincial polling averages showing the PQ at around 29% and the CAQ closing to 24-27% amid a surge in francophone support. Local projections place PQ support near 30-33% and CAQ around 20-27%, ahead of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette, consistent with trader pricing near 42% for the top two contenders. The October 5 election outcome hinges on regional turnout, ongoing campaign dynamics in Estrie, and whether broader shifts toward the CAQ or PQ consolidate in this historically CAQ-leaning seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGeneviève Hébert 45%
Sylvie Tanguay 44%
Jacqueline Belleau 27%
Mia Fréchette 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
Geneviève Hébert
45%
Sylvie Tanguay
44%
Jacqueline Belleau
27%
Mia Fréchette
27%
Geneviève Hébert 45%
Sylvie Tanguay 44%
Jacqueline Belleau 27%
Mia Fréchette 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
Geneviève Hébert
$0 Vol.
45%
Sylvie Tanguay
$0 Vol.
44%
Jacqueline Belleau
$0 Vol.
27%
Mia Fréchette
$0 Vol.
27%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Saint-François riding, the tight race between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert reflects a competitive multi-party contest on the new electoral map, with recent provincial polling averages showing the PQ at around 29% and the CAQ closing to 24-27% amid a surge in francophone support. Local projections place PQ support near 30-33% and CAQ around 20-27%, ahead of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette, consistent with trader pricing near 42% for the top two contenders. The October 5 election outcome hinges on regional turnout, ongoing campaign dynamics in Estrie, and whether broader shifts toward the CAQ or PQ consolidate in this historically CAQ-leaning seat.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Saint-François riding, the tight race between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert reflects a competitive multi-party contest on the new electoral map, with recent provincial polling averages showing the PQ at around 29% and the CAQ closing to 24-27% amid a surge in francophone support. Local projections place PQ support near 30-33% and CAQ around 20-27%, ahead of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette, consistent with trader pricing near 42% for the top two contenders. The October 5 election outcome hinges on regional turnout, ongoing campaign dynamics in Estrie, and whether broader shifts toward the CAQ or PQ consolidate in this historically CAQ-leaning seat.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...In the Saint-François riding, the tight race between Parti Québécois candidate Sylvie Tanguay and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert reflects a competitive multi-party contest on the new electoral map, with recent provincial polling averages showing the PQ at around 29% and the CAQ closing to 24-27% amid a surge in francophone support. Local projections place PQ support near 30-33% and CAQ around 20-27%, ahead of Liberal Jacqueline Belleau and Québec solidaire's Mia Fréchette, consistent with trader pricing near 42% for the top two contenders. The October 5 election outcome hinges on regional turnout, ongoing campaign dynamics in Estrie, and whether broader shifts toward the CAQ or PQ consolidate in this historically CAQ-leaning seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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