In the Beauharnois riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest primarily between incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Alexandre Daneau of the Parti Québécois, alongside Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay and Conservative Angélika Homère. Local factors include Reid’s established incumbency and CAQ record since 2022, contrasted with Daneau’s profile as a longtime regional entrepreneur and community figure selected through PQ nomination. Provincial polling trends showing PQ-CAQ competition across multiple ridings, combined with vote splitting among other parties, sustain the balanced implied probabilities. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, candidate debates, turnout patterns, or late campaign developments affecting voter priorities on sovereignty, economy, or regional issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlexandre Daneau 44%
Claude Reid 43%
Angélika Homère 39%
Charles Royer Tremblay 39%

Alexandre Daneau
44%

Claude Reid
43%

Angélika Homère
39%

Charles Royer Tremblay
39%
Alexandre Daneau 44%
Claude Reid 43%
Angélika Homère 39%
Charles Royer Tremblay 39%

Alexandre Daneau
44%

Claude Reid
43%

Angélika Homère
39%

Charles Royer Tremblay
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...In the Beauharnois riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest primarily between incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Alexandre Daneau of the Parti Québécois, alongside Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay and Conservative Angélika Homère. Local factors include Reid’s established incumbency and CAQ record since 2022, contrasted with Daneau’s profile as a longtime regional entrepreneur and community figure selected through PQ nomination. Provincial polling trends showing PQ-CAQ competition across multiple ridings, combined with vote splitting among other parties, sustain the balanced implied probabilities. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, candidate debates, turnout patterns, or late campaign developments affecting voter priorities on sovereignty, economy, or regional issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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