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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Eric Girard 43%

Julie Tourangeau 27%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Eric Girard 43%

Julie Tourangeau 27%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 has turned Groulx into a toss-up between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Finance Minister Eric Girard and Parti Québécois challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with projections from models such as 338Canada showing near-even odds and slight PQ edges in recent polling averages. Sarrazin’s late-August nomination as a former Gallant commission prosecutor has sharpened the contest by emphasizing fiscal accountability critiques of the CAQ government. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and Québec solidaire’s Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail as lower-probability options amid a provincial environment where nationalist and opposition sentiment is fragmenting the suburban Montreal riding’s electorate. Trader consensus prices reflect this balance, with outcomes hinging on turnout among francophone voters and any late shifts in party standings before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 has turned Groulx into a toss-up between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Finance Minister Eric Girard and Parti Québécois challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with projections from models such as 338Canada showing near-even odds and slight PQ edges in recent polling averages. Sarrazin’s late-August nomination as a former Gallant commission prosecutor has sharpened the contest by emphasizing fiscal accountability critiques of the CAQ government. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and Québec solidaire’s Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail as lower-probability options amid a provincial environment where nationalist and opposition sentiment is fragmenting the suburban Montreal riding’s electorate. Trader consensus prices reflect this balance, with outcomes hinging on turnout among francophone voters and any late shifts in party standings before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" a 44%, seguito da "Eric Girard" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Eric Girard" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.