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Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jean-François Cloutier 44%

Nathalie Roy 43%

Ginette Langlois 27%

Mathieu Lavoie 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Jean-François Cloutier 44%

Nathalie Roy 43%

Ginette Langlois 27%

Mathieu Lavoie 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Jean-François Cloutier

Jean-François Cloutier

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Nathalie Roy

Nathalie Roy

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ginette Langlois

Ginette Langlois

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Mathieu Lavoie

Mathieu Lavoie

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Montarville riding features a tight contest between incumbent Nathalie Roy of the Coalition avenir Québec and Parti québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier, with recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 placing the two parties within a few points of each other in popular vote estimates. Roy’s mid-August announcement that she will seek a fifth term as MNA while continuing to serve as National Assembly president has underscored her local profile in Boucherville and Saint-Bruno-de-Montarville, yet broader provincial trends showing CAQ weakness have narrowed her advantage. Cloutier’s candidacy, backed by recent PQ momentum in the region, has positioned the race as a pivot between the two parties. Other candidates, including Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois, trail farther behind in both polling aggregates and market pricing. The nomination deadline of September 17 and the October 5 election date leave room for late campaign developments or shifts in turnout to influence the final outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Montarville riding features a tight contest between incumbent Nathalie Roy of the Coalition avenir Québec and Parti québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier, with recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 placing the two parties within a few points of each other in popular vote estimates. Roy’s mid-August announcement that she will seek a fifth term as MNA while continuing to serve as National Assembly president has underscored her local profile in Boucherville and Saint-Bruno-de-Montarville, yet broader provincial trends showing CAQ weakness have narrowed her advantage. Cloutier’s candidacy, backed by recent PQ momentum in the region, has positioned the race as a pivot between the two parties. Other candidates, including Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois, trail farther behind in both polling aggregates and market pricing. The nomination deadline of September 17 and the October 5 election date leave room for late campaign developments or shifts in turnout to influence the final outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jean-François Cloutier" a 44%, seguito da "Nathalie Roy" a 43%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è "Jean-François Cloutier" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nathalie Roy" a 43%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.