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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mondo·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mondo·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 49%

Simon Allaire 49%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Isabelle Blais 49%

Simon Allaire 49%

Nancy Mignault 26%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Domande frequenti

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Isabelle Blais" a 50%, seguito da "Simon Allaire" a 49%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è "Isabelle Blais" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Simon Allaire" a 49%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.