Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
$10,321 Vol.
$10,321 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$10,321 Vol.
$10,321 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$7,052 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,269 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$10,321Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,321Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a commanding share of the vote and faces Republican Eric Ching in the November general election. California’s 31st district, centered in the San Gabriel Valley, carries a solid Democratic partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting voter registration advantages, fundraising edges for the incumbent, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though a late-breaking national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still alter the trajectory before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti