Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd congressional district. The seat sits in a Los Angeles-area district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Sherman’s primary victory over a funded challenger and the absence of major Republican investment or candidate recruitment have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding lead in implied probability reflects these structural advantages. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
$24,931 Vol.
$24,931 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$24,931 Vol.
$24,931 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,496 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$13,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd congressional district. The seat sits in a Los Angeles-area district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Sherman’s primary victory over a funded challenger and the absence of major Republican investment or candidate recruitment have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding lead in implied probability reflects these structural advantages. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$24,931Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd congressional district. The seat sits in a Los Angeles-area district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Sherman’s primary victory over a funded challenger and the absence of major Republican investment or candidate recruitment have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding lead in implied probability reflects these structural advantages. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,931Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd congressional district. The seat sits in a Los Angeles-area district with a strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Sherman’s primary victory over a funded challenger and the absence of major Republican investment or candidate recruitment have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding lead in implied probability reflects these structural advantages. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift large enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti