Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-04 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti