California's 32nd congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50. Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Sherman, first elected decades ago and reelected comfortably in prior cycles, faces multiple Democratic challengers including Christopher Ahuja, Dory Benami, Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter. The solidly Democratic district, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, positions Sherman as the clear frontrunner to advance to the November general election alongside one other candidate under California's nonpartisan primary rules. Filing deadlines passed in March with minimal reported shifts in candidate dynamics or major endorsements altering the field in recent weeks. Trader focus centers on incumbency advantages, historical turnout patterns in low-information primaries, and the limited visibility of challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
2 giu 2026
Brad Sherman
96%
Larry Thompson
70%
Jake Levine
28%
Chris Ahuja
26%
Anna Wilding
24%
Marena Lin
17%
Dory Benami
11%
Doug Smith
9%
Josh Sautter
8%
$1,036 Vol.
Brad Sherman
$189 Vol.
96%
Larry Thompson
$298 Vol.
70%
Jake Levine
$30 Vol.
28%
Chris Ahuja
$53 Vol.
26%
Anna Wilding
$160 Vol.
24%
Marena Lin
$59 Vol.
17%
Dory Benami
$66 Vol.
11%
Doug Smith
$85 Vol.
9%
Josh Sautter
$96 Vol.
8%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 32nd congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50. Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Sherman, first elected decades ago and reelected comfortably in prior cycles, faces multiple Democratic challengers including Christopher Ahuja, Dory Benami, Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter. The solidly Democratic district, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, positions Sherman as the clear frontrunner to advance to the November general election alongside one other candidate under California's nonpartisan primary rules. Filing deadlines passed in March with minimal reported shifts in candidate dynamics or major endorsements altering the field in recent weeks. Trader focus centers on incumbency advantages, historical turnout patterns in low-information primaries, and the limited visibility of challengers.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,036Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 32nd congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50. Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Sherman, first elected decades ago and reelected comfortably in prior cycles, faces multiple Democratic challengers including Christopher Ahuja, Dory Benami, Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter. The solidly Democratic district, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, positions Sherman as the clear frontrunner to advance to the November general election alongside one other candidate under California's nonpartisan primary rules. Filing deadlines passed in March with minimal reported shifts in candidate dynamics or major endorsements altering the field in recent weeks. Trader focus centers on incumbency advantages, historical turnout patterns in low-information primaries, and the limited visibility of challengers.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,036Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 32nd congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following redistricting under Proposition 50. Incumbent Democratic Representative Brad Sherman, first elected decades ago and reelected comfortably in prior cycles, faces multiple Democratic challengers including Christopher Ahuja, Dory Benami, Jake Levine, Marena Lin, and Josh Sautter. The solidly Democratic district, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, positions Sherman as the clear frontrunner to advance to the November general election alongside one other candidate under California's nonpartisan primary rules. Filing deadlines passed in March with minimal reported shifts in candidate dynamics or major endorsements altering the field in recent weeks. Trader focus centers on incumbency advantages, historical turnout patterns in low-information primaries, and the limited visibility of challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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