Duke Rodriguez holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability for the June 2 Republican primary after the New Mexico Supreme Court on April 1 upheld a lower court dismissal of challenges questioning his residency and campaign filings, ensuring his ballot access despite failing to clear the GOP pre-primary convention threshold in March. Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull, who led delegate votes at that Ruidoso convention with strong party backing and recent industry endorsements, trails closely at 38.5% on his executive record in the fast-growing suburb. Absent public polls, odds hinge on these procedural wins and insider momentum in a fragmented field, with the primary six weeks out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDuke Rodriguez 52%
Greg Hull 44%
Steve Lanier 1.7%
Susana Martinez 1.4%
$801,855 Vol.
$801,855 Vol.
Duke Rodriguez
52%
Greg Hull
44%
Steve Lanier
2%
Susana Martinez
1%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
Duke Rodriguez 52%
Greg Hull 44%
Steve Lanier 1.7%
Susana Martinez 1.4%
$801,855 Vol.
$801,855 Vol.
Duke Rodriguez
52%
Greg Hull
44%
Steve Lanier
2%
Susana Martinez
1%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Duke Rodriguez holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability for the June 2 Republican primary after the New Mexico Supreme Court on April 1 upheld a lower court dismissal of challenges questioning his residency and campaign filings, ensuring his ballot access despite failing to clear the GOP pre-primary convention threshold in March. Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull, who led delegate votes at that Ruidoso convention with strong party backing and recent industry endorsements, trails closely at 38.5% on his executive record in the fast-growing suburb. Absent public polls, odds hinge on these procedural wins and insider momentum in a fragmented field, with the primary six weeks out.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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